ANCHORAGE — A new independent poll shows Tom Begich leading the primary field and going on to win the general election, reinforcing a consistent pattern across recent surveys.

This result adds to a clear trend: Tom Begich is at the top of the primary field and maintains a strong path to victory in the general election.

“This isn’t coming from just one poll,” said Christie Garbe, Tom Begich’s campaign manager. “Different pollsters and different samples show the same result. Tom is leading the primary and winning the general.” Garbe added, “Alaskans are ready for real change after 7.5 years of the Dunleavy administration."

Primary: Tom Begich Leads the Field

• Alaska Survey Research (Apr 16–19): Begich 19% • Wilson 13.5%
• Alaska Survey Research (Mar 19–22): Begich 19% • Wilson 14%
• Lake Research Partners (Feb 5–11): Begich 22% • Wilson 14%

General Election: Clear Path to Victory

• Alaska Survey Research (Apr 16–19): Begich 41% • Wilson 22% • Begich +19
• Lake Research Partners (Feb 5–11): Begich 38% • Wilson 16% • Begich +22
• Alaska Survey Research (Oct 10–14, 2025): Begich 41% • Bishop 20% • Begich +21

Turning Support into Votes

As more voters engage and campaigns increase visibility, polling is beginning to reflect a more informed electorate. Across multiple surveys, Tom Begich’s support has remained steady even as the race becomes more competitive.

“At this stage, stability matters,” Garbe said. “Support is holding as voters start to compare candidates.”

Tom Begich’s campaign has focused on direct voter contact and a clear message centered on lowering costs, improving education, expanding opportunity, and ensuring Alaska benefits from its own resources.

“Polls are showing what we’re hearing on the ground across Alaska,” Begich said. “People are ready for leadership that lowers costs, strengthens our schools, and puts Alaska first. We’re earning that support every day — and we’re going to turn it into votes on Election Day.”

Poll Details

The Alaska Survey Research poll was conducted April 16–19, 2026, among 1,612–1,923 likely voters, with a margin of error of ±2.5%.

In the primary, Tom Begich leads with 19.0%, ahead of Bernadette Wilson (13.5%), Dave Bronson (9.8%), and Click Bishop (9.0%).

In the ranked choice general election simulation, Tom Begich leads the first round with 41.0%, ahead of Wilson at 21.8% (+19.2), and wins the final round with 53.9% to 46.1%.

Campaign Contact: alex@tombegichforalaska.com